The 95th Oscar nominations were announced- let’s get into it

Appalling snubs, persistent campaigns and nail-biting races-it’s Oscar season. The road to the award ceremony is still 6-weeks ahead, but in the meantime, nominations for all 24 categories were announced on Tuesday, Jan. 24.

As races go down to the wire, no winner is guaranteed until their name is read. Though it can be hard to foresee who will come out on top when it is all said and done, I am going to try anyway.

Best Picture

Top Gun: Maverick
Women Talking
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Banshees of Inisherin
Triangle of Sadness
The Fabelmans
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water

Every nominee is feasible this year. Top Gun: Maverick and Avatar: The Way of Water are two populist picks that do not sacrifice quality and artistic integrity for their popularity. Tár and All Quiet On The Western Front are both critically acclaimed dramas that exceeded expectations with six and nine total nominations respectively. Either could very well surge in momentum and win come Oscar night. Brink nominations Women Talking and Triangle of Sadness show promise but their nominations will be their wins. Anchored by Austin Butler’s Best Actor contending performance, Elvis remains a top contender. Leading the race are The Fabelmans, The Banshees of Inisherin, and Everything Everywhere All at Once. Although Spielberg’s moving love letter to cinema feels like a shoo-in for Oscar gold, The Banshees of Inisherin and Everything Everywhere All at Once gain momentum as both score 4 acting nominations each, as well as best director and best screenplay nominations. I’m going to give it to Everything Everywhere All at Once.

Best Actor

Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
Austin Butler (Elvis)
Colin Farrell (The Banshees Of Inisherin)
Bill Nighy (Living)
Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

While Billy Nighy, a tenured and respected figure, and Paul Mescal, a rising star, both have their supporters, this race is essentially three-pronged. Austin Butler is a tempting pick, but Academy voters may pass him over as more nominations for him in the future seem nearly guaranteed. Brendan Fraser has been a mainstay in the race, but as The Whale fails to secure a best picture or adapted screenplay nomination, I’m left with Colin Farrell as my winner.

Best Supporting Actor

Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway)
Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans)
Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Sweeping nearly all precursor awards, Ke Huy Quan feels like a lock to win. Barry Keoghan and Brendan Gleeson could make a run for it given The Banshees of Inisherin’s success, but it is likely that any support they rally will be split between them by fans of the film. Brian Tyree Henry and Judd Hirsch are pleasant surprises but their odds are razor-thin. Open and shut case here.

Best Actress

Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie)
Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)
Cate Blanchett (Tár)
Ana de Armas (Blonde)
Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Surprise nominee Andrea Riseborough who came out of nowhere shakes things up, as well as the inclusion of De Armas as Marilyn Monroe despite Blonde getting panned. Michelle Williams’ performance in The Fabelmans is showy and Oscar-appealing; but all in all, this is between Blanchett and Yeoh. Yeoh has passionate support, but Blanchett’s tour de force will come out on top.

Best Supporting Actress

Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)
Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Hong Chau (The Whale)

Though Angela Bassett’s performance in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever has been popular amongst both audiences and critic groups, an actor or actress has never been nominated for a role in a Marvel movie, let alone win. It’s hard to be convinced that’ll change now, especially as Marvel fatigue grows. Kerry Condon and Hong Chau put up a convincing bid with strong and well-rounded performances, but neither stands out as frontrunners. I don’t think Stephanie Hsu will split votes with Lee Curtis as Hsu’s presence in the movie was quieter. Lee Curtis will win the first Oscar of her illustrious career.

Will my predictions come to fruition or will I go 0/5? Find out when the 95th Academy Awards air at 7 p.m. CST on March 12.